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Crown Green Handicap

Darren Ellis

Team: PoliceDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

952

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

49

Matches Played

27

Wins

22

Losses

55%

Win Rate

8.6

Avg Win Margin

8.9

Avg Loss Margin

12-10

Home Record

15-12

Away Record

40%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
26 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/2/2025

Only 26 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins27/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 49 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

14 Jun2 Aug20 Jun5 Sept11 Jun23 Jul20 May2 Sept-13713

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
58%
score+0.15→contribution+0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.9
score-0.02→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.0
score-0.33→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
952
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.026
Sample Size Confidence
40%(26/41 matches)
Rating1008 → shrunk 1003→ adjusted 953
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)956
Recency Blend35% (26 recent matches)
Final Rating954
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

27W22L49 matches·55.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Police2022–2025Division 2, Division 349272255.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/2/2025Frank TwissH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Nick BatesH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Chris MillsA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Jim BamberA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Martin WebsterH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Shaun GoldthorpeA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Arthur HaggertyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Steve BrownA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Tim WaineA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Garry AppletonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Robert PageA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024Derek PeachH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Arthur RobinsonA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Jimmy WeaverH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Shaun GoldthorpeA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Stuart BloxhamH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Roy PealingA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024Brian FeltonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024Brian McCarrickA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Kevin BlackH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Chris LeighA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024John CooperH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024Jack HowarthH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
5/7/2024Eddie McLorieA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Ken NaylorH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Martin WebsterA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023Austin DavisH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023Ron ModiakA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023Mike HitchcoxH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023Alan WrightA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Neil AconleyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023S LoweA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023Paul FerrisH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Stuart HolmesA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023Chris SeddonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Liam RogersH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Gordon LoweA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
5/2/2023Ian PalmerH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022John KayH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
7/27/2022Tom EustaceA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/12/2022John PyeA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
7/5/2022Steve GloverH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
6/28/2022Jim SowlerA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/21/2022Graham OwenH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022Stuart HolmesA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022George MontgomeryA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022Tony GordonA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Paul WatkinsonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022Tim WaineA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLWWL
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LLWWLLWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Martin Webster0220%7/1/2025
Shaun Goldthorpe11250%6/24/2025
Tim Waine0220%4/22/2025
Stuart Holmes202100%6/13/2023
Frank Twiss0110%9/2/2025
Nick Bates0110%8/19/2025
Chris Mills101100%7/22/2025
Jim Bamber101100%7/8/2025
Arthur Haggerty101100%6/10/2025
Steve Brown101100%5/20/2025
Biggest Win
Derek Peach (+19)9/3/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Martin Webster (-17)4/23/2024
Best Season
202467% · 15 matches
Worst Season
202545% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 60%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
92749 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-529% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
25-1760% win rate

By Division

Division 221-17 (55%)
Division 36-5 (55%)
Division 255.3%
21W·17L·38 played
Division 354.5%
6W·5L·11 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2022

Latest

Sep 2, 2025

Seasons Active

4 (3.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.3 (49 total)

Seasons

2022202320242025